(Reuters) – Below is a history of Reuters polls of analysts’ expectations for figures in the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s annual U.S. winter wheat seedings report.
The USDA’s report is based on a survey of roughly 72,200 farmers. Ahead of the report’s release, Reuters surveys as many as 24 grain analysts for their expectations.
The tables below also include winter wheat figures from the USDA’s March plantings and June acreage reports, and the government’s final planted acreage numbers.
The USDA is scheduled to release its winter wheat seedings report at 12 p.m. EST (1700 GMT) on Friday, Jan. 10.
All figures are in millions of acres.
ALL WINTER WHEAT
Average
estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA
in Reuters seedings March June final
Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage
2025 33.366 NA NA NA NA
2024 35.786 34.425 34.135 33.805 33.390
2023 34.485 36.950 37.505 37.005 36.699
2022 34.255 34.397 34.236 34.006 33.281
2021 31.528 31.991 33.078 33.683 33.678
2020 30.664 30.804 30.775 30.550 30.450
2019 32.279 31.290 31.504 31.778 31.474
2018 31.307 32.608 32.708 32.732 32.542
2017 34.139 32.383 32.747 32.839 32.726
2016 39.320 36.609 36.216 36.538 36.149
2015 42.564 40.452 40.751 40.620 39.681
2014 43.501 41.892 42.007 42.296 42.409
2013 42.687 41.820 41.988 42.697 43.230
2012 40.933 41.947 41.709 41.819 40.897
2011 40.943 40.990 41.229 41.108 40.596
2010 40.501 37.097 37.698 37.723 36.576
2009 44.292 42.098 42.889 43.448 43.287
2008 48.586 46.610 46.840 46.605 46.781
2007 44.118 44.089 44.505 45.136 45.012
2006 42.386 41.367 41.404 41.393 40.565
2005 43.203 41.567 41.613 41.408 40.418
HARD RED WINTER WHEAT
Average
estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA
in Reuters seedings March June final
Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage
2025 23.733 NA NA NA NA
2024 25.113 24.000 24.300 24.100 23.787
2023 23.824 25.300 26.000 25.700 25.695
2022 24.034 23.800 23.700 23.500 23.098
2021 22.140 22.300 23.200 23.600 23.522
2020 22.086 21.800 21.700 21.500 21.394
2019 22.727* 22.200 22.400 22.700 22.751
2018 22.327 23.100 23.200 23.200 22.930
2017 24.954 23.300 23.800 23.800 23.426
2016 28.810 26.500 26.200 26.500 26.593
2015 31.023 29.500 29.600 29.600 29.173
2014 30.426 30.100 30.200 30.400 30.498
2013 30.185 29.100 28.900 29.400 29.670
2012 29.438 30.100 29.900 30.000 29.612
2011 30.153 29.600 29.400 29.100 28.469
2010 30.205 27.800 28.300 28.500 28.241
2009 31.124 30.200 30.900 31.400 31.666
2008 34.773 32.500 32.500 31.900 31.580
2007 32.017 31.900 31.900 32.400 32.981
2006 30.668 29.900 29.800 29.700 29.340
2005 31.059 30.500 30.500 30.300 30.047
SOFT RED WINTER WHEAT
Average
estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA
in Reuters seedings March June final
Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage
2025 6.141 NA NA NA NA
2024 7.077 6.860 6.260 6.140 6.062
2023 6.890 7.900 7.800 7.660 7.360
2022 6.555 7.070 6.890 6.860 6.565
2021 5.884 6.230 6.420 6.590 6.648
2020 5.118 5.640 5.690 5.630 5.565
2019 6.019* 5.660 5.550 5.540 5.213
2018 5.555 5.980 5.850 5.890 6.076
2017 5.662 5.680 5.530 5.610 5.763
2016 7.144 6.720 6.600 6.580 6.017
2015 8.039 7.500 7.750 7.610 7.094
2014 9.539 8.440 8.430 8.500 8.484
2013 9.039 9.420 9.670 9.960 10.044
2012 7.773 8.370 8.400 8.300 7.956
2011 7.244 7.760 8.200 8.300 8.496
2010 6.991 5.920 6.000 5.800 4.857
2009 9.392 8.290 8.380 8.400 8.162
2008 10.096 10.500 10.700 11.000 11.363
2007 7.982 8.330 8.660 8.800 8.639
2006 7.325 7.300 7.420 7.450 7.385
2005 7.531 6.600 6.600 6.500 6.134
WHITE WINTER WHEAT
Average
estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA
in Reuters seedings March June final
Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage*
2025 3.496 NA NA NA NA
2024 3.595 3.540 3.590 3.590 3.541
2023 3.631 3.730 3.710 3.680 3.644
2022 3.577 3.560 3.620 3.610 3.618
2021 3.514 3.480 3.480 3.500 3.508
2020 3.490 3.370 3.420 3.420 3.491
2019 3.486* 3.440 3.550 3.550 3.510
2018 3.435 3.560 3.640 3.620 3.536
2017 3.473 3.370 3.380 3.420 3.537
2016 3.366 3.430 3.370 3.420 3.539
2015 3.502 3.480 3.430 3.440 3.414
2014 3.533 3.390 3.350 3.410 3.427
2013 3.458 3.270 3.390 3.380 3.516
2012 3.661 3.490 3.500 3.500 3.329
2011 3.527 3.660 3.700 3.700 3.631
2010 3.406 3.330 3.400 3.400 3.478
2009 3.778 3.620 3.650 3.600 3.459
2008 3.852 3.650 3.630 3.700 3.838
2007 4.133 3.910 3.920 3.910 3.392
2006 4.389 4.200 4.220 4.210 3.840
2005 4.547 4.500 4.500 4.500 4.237
* Final figures for white winter wheat acreage are derived by subtracting hard red winter and soft red winter wheat from USDA’s final all-winter wheat acreage figures.
(Compiled by Julie Ingwersen in Chicago; editing by Diane Craft)
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